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Ghana could record 43K COVID-19 cases by 1st August – Dr. Theo Acheampong

Dr. Theo Acheampong

Health

Ghana could record 43K COVID-19 cases by 1st August – Dr. Theo Acheampong



has carried out a research on the COVID-19 cases in Ghana and has predicted the number we may reach in three weeks time.

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Dr. Theo Acheampong is an Energy expert and a researcher.

“GHANA COULD SEE UP TO 43,000 COVID-19 CASES BY 1 AUGUST 2020 (BASED ON PUBLICLY REPORTED DATA)

 

  1. The chart below shows the forecasted scenario for the trend of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in Ghana.
  2. It was produced using a combination of Damped Trend Non-Seasonal, Double Exponential Smoothing and ARIMA time series methods.

  3. The predicted results indicate that within the next 28-days, Ghana could see an increase of up to 43,000 COVID-19 cases (lower limit (P95) of 39,000 cases and an upper limit (P5) of 48,000 cases) of the virus.

  4. This translates to a median forecast of 853 (CI: 593 – 1,313 cases) reported cases per day. Using COVID-19 cases by date of the sample taken, the prediction is 33,000 cases based on a median forecast of 450 cases per day.

  5. Regarding mortalities, the forecast is total median mortality of 226 persons (CI: 144-308 cases) reports by 1 August. This translates to 97 extra deaths in addition to the reported 129 mortalities as of 4 July (latest Ghana Health Service Data).

Stay safe folks!

Don’t become a statistic!

Practice social distancing and hygiene protocols!

COVID is real!

Take action!

©️ Theo Acheampong

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SB Bitian is a Freelance Writer. Favorite quote: "I returned, and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favor to men of skill; but time and chance happen to them all" - Ecclesiastes 9:11

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